The
impact of a risk
is a measurement of the effect the risk will have on your objectives
if it occurs.
Before you can measure effects on your objectives you must be
aware of your Risk Context.
If you are running a project, for example, for which the completion
date is not a very significant factor, then risks affecting only
schedule are not going to be very important. On the other hand,
if completion date is critical, then schedule-related risks are
obviously going to be significant.
Most programs or projects can identify up to about half a dozen
significant objectives. (If you have much more than this number
you are probably defining your objectives too finely.) For a typical
program or project the objectives might be cost, schedule and
scope, or it might be such things as client satisfaction or health
& safety.
In order to assess the impact of a risk in a
consistent and objective manner, we need to set up a predetermined
scale for each significant objective.
If the objective is cost control,
for example, a typical scale might look like this:
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If the objective is health & safety,
a typical scale might look like this:
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Combining Individual Impacts
Scales such as the ones above can be used to assess the impact
of a risk on a single objective. However, a risk can
have an effect on more than one objective, so we need a way of
combining individual impacts into an overall impact for the risk.
A simple way to do this is to take the highest rated impact of
all the objectives and call that the overall impact. This, of
course, assumes that the scales for different impacts are equivalent
to each other. For example, would a level 5 cost impact be the
same as a level 5 health & safety impact?
One way to do this would be to carefully craft each scale so
they are equivalent. A better way to do it is to use standard
scales and apply a weighting factor to each to scale so that the
weighted impact values are indeed equivalent. The overall
risk impact is then the highest of the individual weighted impact
values.
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